AFC Playoff Picture: Texans Skyrocket to No. 7 Seed After Upsetting Chiefs 20-10 (Week 15)
The **Houston Texans'** dominant 20-10 upset of the Chiefs wasn't just a monumental win—it fundamentally changed the **AFC Playoff Picture**, propelling Houston to the No. 7 seed and keeping the dream of an **AFC South crown** very much alive heading into Week 15.
📊 Current AFC South Standings: The Fight for the Division Crown
The Texans (8-5) are now tied with the Colts for second place in the division, trailing the Jacksonville Jaguars (9-4) by just one game. The division is a three-team race with everything on the line in the final four weeks:
| Rank | Team | Record | Division Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| **1. JAX** | Jaguars | **9-4** | 3-1 |
| **2. HOU** | Texans | **8-5** | **4-1** |
| **3. IND** | Colts | **8-5** | 2-2 |
🎯 Houston Texans' Path to the Playoffs: Win the South or Secure a Wild Card?
With their win, the Texans' playoff probability surged to over 85%, solidifying them in the AFC Wild Card race.
Crucial Tiebreakers: Why Texans Have the Edge Over Colts
While tied in overall record, the Texans hold the tiebreaker advantage over the Colts due to a superior **Divisional Record (4-1 vs. 2-2)**. This puts Houston in the **No. 7 seed** position going into Week 15. The head-to-head matchup in Week 18 will be decisive for final seeding.
🗓️ Texans Remaining Schedule: Final Four Games & Playoff Probability
Houston faces a schedule heavy on home games and teams outside the playoff picture, giving them a significant advantage:
| Week | Opponent | Location | Significance |
|---|---|---|---|
| **Week 15** | Arizona Cardinals (3-10) | Home | *Must-Win* vs. an eliminated NFC team. |
| **Week 16** | Las Vegas Raiders (2-11) | Home | Favorable matchup against an eliminated opponent. |
| **Week 17** | Los Angeles Chargers (9-4) | Away | Crucial tiebreaker game against a rival Wild Card contender. |
| **Week 18** | Indianapolis Colts (8-5) | Home | **De facto AFC South or Wild Card Playoff!** |
The Houston Texans are in control of their destiny. With two favorable home games leading into a major late-season clash with the Chargers, they are poised for their first playoff berth since 2019.
**CONTINUE READING:** How did the Chiefs become mathematically eliminated from the AFC West title race?
Reviewed by khan
on
December 30, 2025
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