AFC Playoff Picture: Texans Skyrocket to No. 7 Seed After Upsetting Chiefs 20-10 (Week 15)

Houston Texans quarterback CJ Stroud celebrating after a victory, leading the Texans to the 7th seed in the AFC playoff race.
The Texans are suddenly one of the hottest teams in the AFC. (Image Credit: [Source])

The **Houston Texans'** dominant 20-10 upset of the Chiefs wasn't just a monumental win—it fundamentally changed the **AFC Playoff Picture**, propelling Houston to the No. 7 seed and keeping the dream of an **AFC South crown** very much alive heading into Week 15.


📊 Current AFC South Standings: The Fight for the Division Crown

The Texans (8-5) are now tied with the Colts for second place in the division, trailing the Jacksonville Jaguars (9-4) by just one game. The division is a three-team race with everything on the line in the final four weeks:

Rank Team Record Division Record
**1. JAX** Jaguars **9-4** 3-1
**2. HOU** Texans **8-5** **4-1**
**3. IND** Colts **8-5** 2-2

🎯 Houston Texans' Path to the Playoffs: Win the South or Secure a Wild Card?

With their win, the Texans' playoff probability surged to over 85%, solidifying them in the AFC Wild Card race.

Crucial Tiebreakers: Why Texans Have the Edge Over Colts

While tied in overall record, the Texans hold the tiebreaker advantage over the Colts due to a superior **Divisional Record (4-1 vs. 2-2)**. This puts Houston in the **No. 7 seed** position going into Week 15. The head-to-head matchup in Week 18 will be decisive for final seeding.


🗓️ Texans Remaining Schedule: Final Four Games & Playoff Probability

Houston faces a schedule heavy on home games and teams outside the playoff picture, giving them a significant advantage:

Week Opponent Location Significance
**Week 15** Arizona Cardinals (3-10) Home *Must-Win* vs. an eliminated NFC team.
**Week 16** Las Vegas Raiders (2-11) Home Favorable matchup against an eliminated opponent.
**Week 17** Los Angeles Chargers (9-4) Away Crucial tiebreaker game against a rival Wild Card contender.
**Week 18** Indianapolis Colts (8-5) Home **De facto AFC South or Wild Card Playoff!**

The Houston Texans are in control of their destiny. With two favorable home games leading into a major late-season clash with the Chargers, they are poised for their first playoff berth since 2019.

**CONTINUE READING:** How did the Chiefs become mathematically eliminated from the AFC West title race?

Tags: #WeAreTexans #TexansPlayoffs #AFCPlayoffPicture #NFLWeek15 #AFC South

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